Barra da Tijucavs
Pérolas Negras
COMPLETEDBrazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/23/2023, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barra da Tijuca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Barra da Tijuca are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pérolas Negras are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWDL), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Barra da Tijuca hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Carioca - 2, while Barra da Tijuca holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barra da Tijuca
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Barra da Tijuca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75