GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca - 2 · 9/11/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barra da Tijuca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Barra da Tijuca are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Friburguense are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 4.75 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Barra da Tijuca hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 61.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Carioca - 2, while Barra da Tijuca holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barra da Tijuca

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Barra da Tijuca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barra da TijucaWL

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
FriburguenseDWWW

GF 19 · GA 2 · avg 4.75/0.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Barra da TijucaFriburguense
61.5Attack48.5
74.4Defence66.7
61.5Form63.6
64.6Power61.8
1.33xG0.68
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