Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vs
FSV Mainz 05 II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - SudWest · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 3-1 FSV Mainz 05 II
Original prediction
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.7% | 40.5% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.6% | 27.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.7% | 32.0% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20