Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnsley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Barnsley are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tranmere are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the League Cup, while Barnsley holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barnsley
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Barnsley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40