Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidenceBarnsley are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Oldham are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the EFL Trophy, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarnsleyDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OldhamLWLLL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BarnsleyOldham
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24