Barnsleyvs
Manchester United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/21/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnsley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Barnsley are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Manchester United U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Barnsley hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 22.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Barnsley holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barnsley
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Barnsley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60