BarnsleyvsManchester United U21

Barnsley are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Manchester United U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Barnsley hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 22.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the EFL Trophy, while Barnsley holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.