Barnsleyvs
Manchester City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/26/2023, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnsley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Barnsley are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Manchester City U21 are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Barnsley hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Barnsley holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barnsley
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Barnsley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00