Barnsleyvs
Cambridge United
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cambridge United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barnsley 1-2 Cambridge United
Original prediction
Cambridge United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.8% | 24.8% | -14.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 26.0% | 23.5% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 35.2% | 51.7% | 16.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Cambridge United
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Cambridge United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80