Barnsley U21vs
Sheffield United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 9/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnsley U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barnsley U21 0-2 Sheffield United U21
Original prediction
Barnsley U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.0% | 40.6% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.4% | 26.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.6% | 33.4% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Barnsley U21
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Barnsley U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60