Barnsley U21vs
Peterborough United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnsley U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barnsley U21 3-6 Peterborough United U21
Original prediction
Barnsley U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 17:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.0% | 44.5% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.9% | 24.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 36.1% | 31.2% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Barnsley U21
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Barnsley U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60