Barnsley U21vs
Hull City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barnsley U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barnsley U21 0-2 Hull City U21
Original prediction
Barnsley U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.8% | 45.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.1% | 25.2% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.1% | 29.5% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Barnsley U21
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Barnsley U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20