GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Barnet are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leyton Orient are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the EFL Trophy, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.2%

Model confidence

13.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BarnetLWWWW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Leyton OrientWDLLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BarnetLeyton Orient
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24
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