GGOALVIO

Barnet logoBarnetvsHartlepool logoHartlepool

COMPLETED

England · National League · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barnet · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Barnet are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Hartlepool are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Barnet hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the National League, while Barnet holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barnet

Probability

62.6%

Model confidence

62.6%

Barnet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BarnetWDWWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
HartlepoolWLWDW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BarnetHartlepool
64.5Attack50.7
54.6Defence40.6
61.0Form43.5
60.3Power47.0
2.59xG1.23
View match centre →