Barnetvs
Brighton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/30/2025, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brighton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Barnet are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Brighton U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Brighton U21 hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Brighton U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brighton U21
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Brighton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80