Barlettavs
Salernitana
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 9/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salernitana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barletta 1-1 Salernitana
Original prediction
Salernitana
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.9% | 33.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.4% | 29.7% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.7% | 37.1% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Salernitana
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Salernitana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60