Barlettavs
AZ Picerno
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone C · 10/18/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ Picerno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barletta 1-0 AZ Picerno
Original prediction
AZ Picerno
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 09:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.6% | 37.3% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.0% | 24.2% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.4% | 38.5% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
AZ Picerno
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
AZ Picerno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60