GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 5/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Regar-TadAZ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Barki Tajik are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Regar-TadAZ are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Regar-TadAZ hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.0% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Regar-TadAZ holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Regar-TadAZ

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

17.0%

Regar-TadAZ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barki TajikWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Regar-TadAZWDWWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Barki TajikRegar-TadAZ
42.9Attack44.4
47.6Defence80.6
42.9Form75.0
47.0Power69.4
0.65xG1.36
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