GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 4/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barki Tajik · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Barki Tajik are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Istaravshan are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Barki Tajik hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 30.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Barki Tajik holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barki Tajik

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

12.2%

Barki Tajik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barki TajikLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IstaravshanDLDDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Barki TajikIstaravshan
42.9Attack30.6
47.6Defence38.9
42.9Form13.9
47.0Power30.8
1.77xG0.83
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