Barito Puteravs
Persipura Jayapura
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barito Putera · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barito Putera 3-2 Persipura Jayapura
Original prediction
Barito Putera
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.6% | 37.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.9% | 28.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.5% | 33.5% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Barito Putera
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Barito Putera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00