Barito Puteravs
Persiba Balikpapan
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barito Putera · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barito Putera 2-0 Persiba Balikpapan
Original prediction
Barito Putera
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.8% | 47.2% | -14.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.3% | 26.8% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 5.35 | 16.9% | 26.0% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Barito Putera
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Barito Putera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 11 · avg 3.00/2.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60