Barito Puteravs
Persela Lamongan
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 10/4/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Persela Lamongan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barito Putera 0-1 Persela Lamongan
Original prediction
Persela Lamongan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.6% | 32.5% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.4% | 25.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.32 | 26.9% | 41.9% | 14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Persela Lamongan
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Persela Lamongan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20