Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bari are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Parma are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (DWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Parma hold a 70.5-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 77.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Coppa Italia, while Parma holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Parma
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Parma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 0 · avg 5.00/0.00
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.50