Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bari · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bari 1-0 Casarano
Original prediction
Bari
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Bari
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Bari has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BariDDWWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CasaranoWLWWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BariCasarano
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
52.0Power53.0
1.36xG1.17