Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bari · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bari 1-0 Casarano
Original prediction
Bari
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Bari
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Bari has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BariDLWWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CasaranoWLLWL
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BariCasarano
50.0Attack49.1
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form49.1
50.0Power50.6
1.46xG1.22