GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia Primavera · 8/29/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bari U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Bari U19 are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLLW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Padova U19 are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 1.75 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bari U19 hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the Coppa Italia Primavera, while Bari U19 holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bari U19

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

9.1%

Bari U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bari U19DLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.25/2.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Padova U19LWLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.75/2.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Bari U19Padova U19
83.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
47.8Power23.7
2.27xG1.54
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