Bari U19vs
Napoli U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bari U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bari U19 1-1 Napoli U19
Original prediction
Bari U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.4% | 52.5% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.1% | 23.4% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.5% | 24.1% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Bari U19
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Bari U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40