Bari U19vs
Ascoli U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bari U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bari U19 2-1 Ascoli U19
Original prediction
Bari U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 43.9% | 43.6% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.3% | 26.4% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 30.8% | 30.0% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Bari U19
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Bari U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00