Barendrechtvs
Sparta Rotterdam II
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Rotterdam II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barendrecht 3-2 Sparta Rotterdam II
Original prediction
Sparta Rotterdam II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.1% | 37.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.1% | 21.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.8% | 41.0% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Rotterdam II
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Sparta Rotterdam II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60