Barendrechtvs
Katwijk
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barendrecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barendrecht 0-2 Katwijk
Original prediction
Barendrecht
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 29.8% | 38.3% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.9% | 25.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 47.3% | 36.1% | -11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Barendrecht
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Barendrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20