Barendrechtvs
Hoek
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barendrecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barendrecht 1-1 Hoek
Original prediction
Barendrecht
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.8% | 39.6% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 23.1% | 24.6% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 46.1% | 35.7% | -10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Barendrecht
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Barendrecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60