Barcelona Wvs
Real Madrid W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona W 7-0 Real Madrid W
Original prediction
Barcelona W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 81.9% | 56.5% | -25.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.78 | 11.7% | 20.9% | 9.1 pts |
| Away | 14.38 | 6.3% | 22.6% | 16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona W
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Barcelona W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 23 · GA 4 · avg 4.60/0.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20