Barcelona Wvs
Granada
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/24/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona W 3-0 Granada
Original prediction
Barcelona W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.01 | 93.1% | 77.7% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 20.05 | 4.7% | 13.4% | 8.7 pts |
| Away | 42.60 | 2.2% | 9.0% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona W
Probability
77.7%
Model confidence
77.7%
Barcelona W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20