Barcelona Wvs
Granad. Tenerife W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Barcelona W 3-0 Granad. Tenerife W, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona W 5-0 Granad. Tenerife W
Original prediction
Barcelona W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.03 | 89.3% | 88.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 13.28 | 7.0% | 8.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 24.99 | 3.7% | 3.2% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Barcelona W 3–0 Granad. Tenerife W
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona W
Probability
88.7%
Model confidence
88.7%
Barcelona W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 2 · avg 3.60/0.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20