Barcelona Wvs
Atletico Madrid W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona W 4-2 Atletico Madrid W
Original prediction
Barcelona W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 85.4% | 58.5% | -26.9 pts |
| Draw | 9.70 | 9.4% | 21.4% | 12.0 pts |
| Away | 17.54 | 5.2% | 20.1% | 14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona W
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Barcelona W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 1 · avg 3.80/0.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60