Barcelonavs
Manchester City
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 12/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Manchester City
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Manchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarcelonaWWWWL
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Manchester CityWLWWD
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BarcelonaManchester City
66.7Attack93.3
53.3Defence56.7
63.3Form86.7
61.3Power80.3
1.77xG2.24