Barcelonavs
Aston Villa
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 11/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarcelonaWWWWL
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Aston VillaLLLLW
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BarcelonaAston Villa
66.7Attack63.9
53.3Defence66.7
63.3Form69.4
61.3Power67.3
1.42xG1.67