Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Barcelona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarcelonaWWWWW
GF 24 · GA 6 · avg 4.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AlavesDLLWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BarcelonaAlaves
100.0Attack52.4
66.7Defence71.4
100.0Form52.4
88.9Power58.7
1.70xG0.96