Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona 2-1 Al Ahly
Original prediction
Barcelona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Barcelona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarcelonaWLWDW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al AhlyWWWLW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
BarcelonaAl Ahly
80.0Attack33.3
60.0Defence66.7
66.7Form33.3
68.5Power45.3
2.42xG1.25