Barcelona SCvs
Universidad Catolica
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 10/18/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Barcelona SC 0-0 Universidad Catolica, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona SC 1-1 Universidad Catolica
Original prediction
Universidad Catolica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.9% | 31.6% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.9% | 31.1% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.89 | 31.2% | 37.3% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Projected Score
Barcelona SC 0–0 Universidad Catolica
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Universidad Catolica
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80