GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/18/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Barcelona SC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while RB Bragantino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while RB Bragantino holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barcelona SCLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Barcelona SCRB Bragantino
33.3Attack48.1
16.7Defence77.8
50.0Form51.9
37.5Power58.0
0.68xG1.37
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