Barcelona SCvs
Independiente del Valle
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Barcelona SC 0-1 Independiente del Valle, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona SC 2-1 Independiente del Valle
Original prediction
Independiente del Valle
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.28 | 27.8% | 23.3% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.0% | 28.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 44.1% | 48.8% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Projected Score
Barcelona SC 0–1 Independiente del Valle
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Independiente del Valle
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40