Liga ProLiga Pro
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Barcelona SC

Barcelona SC

Home
DD
11
Full time
Guayaquil City FC

Guayaquil City FC

Away
DWL
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Barcelona SC(46%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Barcelona SC
46%
Draw
27%
Guayaquil City FC
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Barcelona SC
18
Guayaquil City FC
34
Defence
Barcelona SC
82
Guayaquil City FC
66
Momentum
Barcelona SC
33
Guayaquil City FC
44
Danger (xG)
Barcelona SC
0.45
Guayaquil City FC
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Barcelona SC)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Guayaquil City FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Barcelona SC)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Guayaquil City FC)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
DDW
Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC
DWL

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Barcelona SC46%
Draw27%
Guayaquil City FC28%

Barcelona SC leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Barcelona SC head into this in Liga Pro fixture at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha in mixed form (DD), while Guayaquil City FC arrive in mixed form (DWL). Barcelona SC have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 33% for Guayaquil City FC over 3 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Barcelona SC (82/100) and Guayaquil City FC (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Barcelona SC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Guayaquil City FC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Barcelona SC to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Barcelona SC 4567%, Draw 2678%, Guayaquil City FC 2756%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Barcelona SC 0Draws 10 Guayaquil City FC
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
16 Jul 2026
Barcelona SC
D11
Guayaquil City FC

Recent form

Barcelona SC

Barcelona SC

D
vs Guayaquil City FC
16 Jul 2026
11
D
@ Emelec
13 Jul 2026
00
W
@ Insutec
12 May 2026
42
Guayaquil City FC

Guayaquil City FC

D
@ Barcelona SC
16 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Delfin SC
12 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Aucas
8 Jul 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Barcelona SC to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City FC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Barcelona SC vs Guayaquil City FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more