GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/12/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Barcelona SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Estudiantes L.P. are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (37.5 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Estudiantes L.P. holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes L.P.

Probability

68.5%

Model confidence

68.5%

Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barcelona SCDLWLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Estudiantes L.P.DDDWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Barcelona SCEstudiantes L.P.
33.3Attack69.4
16.7Defence88.9
50.0Form72.2
37.5Power74.6
0.60xG2.09
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