Barcelona SCvs
Emelec
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 3/7/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Barcelona SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Emelec are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Barcelona SC hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60