GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 3/4/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barcelona SC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Botafogo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barcelona SCLWWLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BotafogoWLLLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Barcelona SCBotafogo
30.0Attack37.5
66.7Defence70.8
36.7Form62.5
46.1Power59.5
0.59xG0.74
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