Barcelona Bvs
Utebo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona B · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Barcelona B 1-0 Utebo, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona B 2-1 Utebo
Original prediction
Barcelona B
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 72.7% | 61.1% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.05 | 17.9% | 23.6% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 9.55 | 9.4% | 15.4% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Projected Score
Barcelona B 1–0 Utebo
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona B
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Barcelona B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Barcelona BWWWWD
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
UteboDDLWD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Barcelona BUtebo
72.2Attack27.8
94.4Defence72.2
88.9Form38.9
83.6Power49.4
1.52xG0.56