Barcelona Bvs
SD Logroñés
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona B · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona B 1-0 SD Logroñés
Original prediction
Barcelona B
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 77.5% | 71.3% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.74 | 15.7% | 17.4% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 13.14 | 6.9% | 11.3% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona B
Probability
71.3%
Model confidence
71.3%
Barcelona B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20