GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/3/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barcelona B · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Barcelona B are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Real Unión are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Barcelona B hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while Barcelona B holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barcelona B

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Barcelona B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barcelona BLWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Real UniónWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Barcelona BReal Unión
51.8Attack40.4
63.2Defence53.5
61.4Form37.7
60.4Power45.6
1.62xG0.78
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