Barcelona Bvs
Peña Sport
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona B · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona B 4-0 Peña Sport
Original prediction
Barcelona B
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 77.1% | 56.5% | -20.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.86 | 15.3% | 23.7% | 8.4 pts |
| Away | 11.64 | 7.7% | 19.8% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona B
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Barcelona B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20